Let me start out by saying that I live in one of the four boom and bust markets, California, Nevada, Arizona and Flordia (CA) and we have seen lots of oppertunity early on in 2009. Back in 2009 prices came down to more reasonable numbers. The reason for this post is supposedly we are in a housing recovery now according to the news talking heads.
Lets examine what is happening now:
- House prices are still low
- One can still get loans
- Mortage rates are low
- Inventory is low
- House filliping is back
- Stock market is suspect
- Investors are competing for lower priced homes
- First time home buyers still cannot afford a big price – maybe up to the median
In this post I’ll talk about each bullet point… maybe you will see why this is NOT a real recovery right now from my perspective.

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